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The weather is preparing to go wild, and will wreak havoc (严重破坏) and death around the globe later this year． An E1 Nino, a splurge of warm water in the Pacific Ocean, is coming． It will unleash floods in the Americas, while South-East Asia and Australia face (26) ． Yet little is being done to(27) these consequences． An E1 Nifio begins when warm water near Indonesia (28) and rises to the surface of the Pacific The warm water carries rain with it, so E1 Nifio takes rain from Asia and Australia and (29) it on the Americas． The effects can be (30) ． A big E1 Nifio in 1997-98 killed 20,000 people and caused almost $97 billion of damage． Meteorologists contacted by New Scientist all expect an E1 Nino at the end of this year． Yet official forecasts (31) ． As recently as 5 May, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration only said the (32) of an E1 Nino would exceed 50 per cent this year． Most E1 Nino researchers say forecasters are being too (33) ． "One thing I hear over and over again is 'we do not want to create a panic'," says Timmermann． There is a reason: (34) a big E1 Nino would cause a spike in food prices． "But it may be better to have this reaction at an early stage, when farmers can still adapt, rather than later．"
The good news is that E1 Nifio is a known quantity． "We already know what happens when a bigE1 Nino hits," says Zafar Adeel of the United Nations University in Hamilton, CanadA) That means vulnerable populations can be identified and (35) put in place．
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